The Campi Flegrei caldera, during the period 1994-2016, showed two opposite bradyseismic trends. The second period (2004-2016) is characterized by an acceleration in the number of earthquakes and in the ground deformation. The aim of this study is to investigate whether, in the second period, causal relationships exist, according to the Granger causality test, between some geochemical and geophysical variables, using the VAR model and the Impulse Response Function. The results reveal interesting considerations regarding the causality and forecasting of the events connected with the caldera inflation

Evaluation of Geophysical Data from Campi Flegrei Caldera with a VAR model Modello VAR su dati geofisici dei Campi Flegrei

Simona Tripaldi
2019-01-01

Abstract

The Campi Flegrei caldera, during the period 1994-2016, showed two opposite bradyseismic trends. The second period (2004-2016) is characterized by an acceleration in the number of earthquakes and in the ground deformation. The aim of this study is to investigate whether, in the second period, causal relationships exist, according to the Granger causality test, between some geochemical and geophysical variables, using the VAR model and the Impulse Response Function. The results reveal interesting considerations regarding the causality and forecasting of the events connected with the caldera inflation
978-88-86638-65-4
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11586/295607
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