A Brain Connectivity Approach to Detect Diffusion-Weighted Imaging Changes in Post-Traumatic Epilepsy

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is one of the leading causes of acquired epilepsy, with a significant proportion of patients developing post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) even months or years after the initial injury. The identification of reliable imaging biomarkers able to predict epileptogenesis remains a major clinical challenge. In recent years, diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and structural connectome analysis have emerged as promising tools to investigate brain network alterations associated with late seizure development. Machine learning approaches may further support the detection of predictive patterns in complex neuroimaging data. The goal of this study is to perform a binary classification between seizure-free and late seizure-affected patients following TBI, with a specific focus on the identification of the anatomical regions potentially connected with late seizure development. A dataset of 59 diffusion weighted images (DWI) scans from the EpiBioS4Rx project, including 42 seizure-free and 17 late seizure-affected TBI patients, was analyzed. A Random Forest classification algorithm was applied, incorporating network feature importance based on the Gini index to investigate model’s decisions and allow a clinical interpretation. The model reported a 69% ± 0.03 accuracy for discrimination and a 73% AUC ± 0.05. Despite the limited and imbalanced nature of the dataset, and the fact that the performance does not significantly exceed chance once all data-dependent steps are taken into account, our approach allows us to achieve accurate classification results compared to the literature and to identify brain regions potentially associated with epileptogenesis.