Radiographic Cortical Thickness Index Predicts Fragility Fracture in Gaucher Disease

Background: Patients with Gaucher disease (GD) have a high risk of fragility fractures. Routine evaluation of bone involvement in these patients includes radiography and repeated dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA). However, osteonecrosis and bone fracture may affect the accuracy of DXA.Purpose: To assess the utility of DXA and radiographic femoral cortical thickness measurements as predictors of fragility fracture in patients with GD with long-term follow-up (up to 30 years).Materials and Methods: Patients with GD age 16 years and older with a detailed medical history, at least one bone image (DXA and/or radiographs), and minimum 2 years follow-up were retrospectively identified using three merged UK-based registries (Gaucherite study, enrollment 2015-2017; Clinical Bone Registry, enrollment 2003-2006; and Mortality Registry, enrollment 1993-2019). Cortical thickness index (CTI) and canal-to-calcar ratio (CCR) were measured by two independent observers, and inter- and intraobserver reliability was calculated. The fracture-predictive value of DXA, CTI, CCR, and cutoff values were calculated using receiver operating characteristic curves. Statistical differences were assessed using univariable and multivariable analysis.Results: Bone imaging in 247 patients (123 men, 124 women; baseline median age, 39 years; IQR, 27-50 years) was reviewed. The median follow-up period was 11 years (IQR, 7-19 years; range, 2-30 years). Thirty-five patients had fractures before or at first bone imaging, 23 patients had fractures after first bone imaging, and 189 patients remained fracture-free. Inter-and intraobserver reproducibility for CTI/CCR measurements was substantial (range, 0.96-0.98). In the 212 patients with no baseline fracture, CTI (cutoff, <= 0.50) predicted future fractures with higher sensitivity and specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.96; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.99; sensitivity, 92%; specificity, 96%) than DXA T-score at total hip (AUC, 0.78; 95% CI: 0.51, 0.91; sensitivity, 64%; specificity, 93%), femoral neck (AUC, 0.73; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.86; sensitivity, 64%; specificity, 73%), lumbar spine (AUC, 0.69; 95% CI: 0.49, 0.82; sensitivity, 57%; specificity, 63%), and forearm (AUC, 0.78; 95% CI: 0.59, 0.89; sensitivity, 70%; specificity, 70%).Conclusion: Radiographic cortical thickness index of 0.50 or less was a reliable independent predictor of fracture risk in Gaucher disease.